Ensysce Biosciences Stock Volatility

ENSC Stock  USD 0.43  0.01  2.27%   
Ensysce Biosciences secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.23, which denotes the company had a -0.23 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Ensysce Biosciences exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Ensysce Biosciences' Standard Deviation of 7.89, variance of 62.18, and Mean Deviation of 5.23 to check the risk estimate we provide.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.2291

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Based on monthly moving average Ensysce Biosciences is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Ensysce Biosciences by adding Ensysce Biosciences to a well-diversified portfolio.
Key indicators related to Ensysce Biosciences' volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
90 Days Economic Sensitivity
Ensysce Biosciences Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Ensysce daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Ensysce's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Ensysce Biosciences volatility.
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Ensysce Biosciences can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Ensysce Biosciences at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Ensysce Biosciences' stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Main indicators related to Ensysce Biosciences' market risk premium analysis include:
Beta
1.31
Alpha
(2.09)
Risk
8.2
Sharpe Ratio
(0.23)
Expected Return
(1.88)

Moving together with Ensysce Stock

  0.85OSE OSE Pharma SAPairCorr
  0.78RAC Race Oncology Earnings Call This WeekPairCorr
  0.67VCEL Vericel Corp OrdPairCorr
  0.83DRMA Dermata TherapeuticsPairCorr

Moving against Ensysce Stock

  0.89DRTS Alpha Tau MedicalPairCorr
  0.8EQ EquilliumPairCorr
  0.78DSGN Design TherapeuticsPairCorr
  0.766C1 CytomX TherapeuticsPairCorr
  0.68GXEA Galapagos NV Earnings Call This WeekPairCorr
  0.638VP1 AVRICORE HEALTH INCPairCorr
  0.62VERA Vera TherapeuticsPairCorr
  0.61DNTH Dianthus TherapeuticsPairCorr
  0.6DRUG Bright Minds BiosciencesPairCorr
  0.54SAB Sonic Healthcare Earnings Call TomorrowPairCorr

Ensysce Biosciences Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Ensysce Biosciences' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Ensysce stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Ensysce stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Ensysce Biosciences's beta of 1.31 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Ensysce Biosciences stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Ensysce Biosciences is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Ensysce Biosciences is a potential penny stock. Although Ensysce Biosciences may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Ensysce Biosciences. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Ensysce instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
Check current 90 days Ensysce Biosciences correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)
α-2.09   β1.31
3 Months Beta |Analyze Ensysce Biosciences Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Ensysce Biosciences correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Ensysce Biosciences Volatility and Downside Risk

Ensysce standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Ensysce Biosciences Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Ensysce Biosciences stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Ensysce Biosciences' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Ensysce Biosciences' stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Ensysce Biosciences' volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Ensysce Biosciences' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Ensysce Biosciences' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Ensysce Biosciences' current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Ensysce Biosciences' to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Ensysce Biosciences Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Ensysce Biosciences Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.3144 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Ensysce Biosciences will likely underperform.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ensysce Biosciences or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ensysce Biosciences' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ensysce stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Ensysce Biosciences has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Ensysce Biosciences' volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how ensysce stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives an Ensysce Biosciences Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract investor attention to the company. This positive attention may impact the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Ensysce Biosciences Stock Risk Measures

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Ensysce Biosciences is -436.54. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 67.32 and standard deviation of 8.2. The mean deviation of Ensysce Biosciences is currently at 5.45. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.79
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-2.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.31
σ
Overall volatility
8.20
Ir
Information ratio -0.26

Ensysce Biosciences Stock Return Volatility

Ensysce Biosciences historical daily return volatility represents how much of Ensysce Biosciences stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 8.2048% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7573% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

Related Correlations Analysis


Correlation Matchups

Over a given time period, the two securities move together when the Correlation Coefficient is positive. Conversely, the two assets move in opposite directions when the Correlation Coefficient is negative. Determining your positions' relationship to each other is valuable for analyzing and projecting your portfolio's future expected return and risk.

High positive correlations

KALASNGX
QLGNOGEN
AIMKALA
KZIASNGX
CANFAIM
AIMSNGX
  

High negative correlations

CANFVYNE
VYNEAIM
QLGNVYNE
VYNEKALA
VYNEXBIO
VYNEOGEN

Risk-Adjusted Indicators

There is a big difference between Ensysce Stock performing well and Ensysce Biosciences Company doing well as a business compared to the competition. There are so many exceptions to the norm that investors cannot definitively determine what's good or bad unless they analyze Ensysce Biosciences' multiple risk-adjusted performance indicators across the competitive landscape. These indicators are quantitative in nature and help investors forecast volatility and risk-adjusted expected returns across various positions.
Mean DeviationJensen AlphaSortino RatioTreynor RatioSemi DeviationExpected ShortfallPotential UpsideValue @RiskMaximum Drawdown
SNGX  3.46 (0.34) 0.00 (0.16) 0.00 
 8.16 
 30.10 
TTNP  3.46  0.28  0.03 (0.69) 5.38 
 9.38 
 30.41 
OGEN  3.62 (0.82) 0.00 (0.50) 0.00 
 7.32 
 24.70 
KALA  6.41 (0.60) 0.00 (0.33) 0.00 
 13.33 
 59.48 
XBIO  3.21 (0.29) 0.00 (0.35) 0.00 
 4.96 
 23.67 
AIM  5.42 (0.17) 0.00 (0.07) 0.00 
 10.14 
 32.69 
VYNE  3.00  0.94  0.24 (2.39) 2.13 
 5.71 
 55.08 
QLGN  5.09 (0.60) 0.00  1.87  0.00 
 10.42 
 26.37 
KZIA  8.23 (0.06) 0.01  0.03  10.14 
 14.69 
 78.79 
CANF  5.14 (0.56) 0.00  0.39  0.00 
 10.40 
 38.42 

About Ensysce Biosciences Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Ensysce Biosciences or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Ensysce Biosciences may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Ensysce's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Ensysce Biosciences and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Ensysce Biosciences fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Selling And Marketing Expenses3.2 M2.9 M
Market Cap12.8 M11.4 M
Ensysce Biosciences' stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Ensysce Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Ensysce Biosciences' price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Ensysce Biosciences' volatility to invest better

Higher Ensysce Biosciences' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Ensysce Biosciences stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Ensysce Biosciences stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Ensysce Biosciences investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Ensysce Biosciences' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Ensysce Biosciences' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Ensysce Biosciences Investment Opportunity

Ensysce Biosciences has a volatility of 8.2 and is 10.79 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 73 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Ensysce Biosciences. You can use Ensysce Biosciences to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences an unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. Check odds of Ensysce Biosciences to be traded at $0.4128 in 90 days.

Pay attention - limited upside

The correlation between Ensysce Biosciences and DJI is -0.83 (i.e., Pay attention - limited upside) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ensysce Biosciences and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Ensysce Biosciences Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ensysce Biosciences' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ensysce Biosciences' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Ensysce Biosciences stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Ensysce Biosciences Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Ensysce Biosciences as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Ensysce Biosciences' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Ensysce Biosciences' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Ensysce Biosciences.

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When running Ensysce Biosciences' price analysis, check to measure Ensysce Biosciences' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ensysce Biosciences is operating at the current time. Most of Ensysce Biosciences' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ensysce Biosciences' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ensysce Biosciences' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ensysce Biosciences to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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